SURFING: Swell weekend of waves ahead
CHANCES are we can allow ourselves to get just a little excited about a wave-filled weekend.
Sure things could change at the last minute and the swell suddenly disappear, but for that to happen over the next few days would take some fairly radical weather changes.
In short there are three separate sources of swell converging on our area. To not get waves from all three would be pretty weird.
So get some sleep, get the rubber ready, and start making plans on how to avoid the crowds because the bottom line is I reckon there should be plenty of waves around.
The primary swell headed our way is a sizeable southern ocean long period pulse. In all reality I believe we'll see very little of this swell. I only mention for awareness value. If it does bend more to the south-east, then things could get bigger than expected. It could also throw up the odd freak set on the more open beaches. However, most of it should stay in deep water.
While this is going on there is also an unseasonal, almost trade-wind like mid-period easterly swell that has been building in our region for a past few days. This swell has been generated by the wind fetch driven by some very large highs in the northern Tasman.
Now just to make things a little more interesting, there has also been a similar group of large, complex highs in the Coral Sea. They have started to produce a slightly larger, shorter-period east-to-north-east wind swell, the majority of which will hit further north. Yet the edge of this swell window does reach into our region.
So looking at it from all angles we would have to be pretty unlucky to not score waves this weekend, and it looks like it will get in at most spots.
The only issue will be the winds. Predominantly south, with a little offshore blow in the mornings, and a less forgiving onshore in the afternoons.
When we combine this all into one we can expect the swell to probably peak around 1.5-2.5m at (8-12 seconds) tomorrow, backing off a little on Sunday to 1-2m at (8-10 seconds).
Stay safe, have fun, wait your turn, and surf today like you want to surf again tomorrow.