THE WEEK ON THE WATER: Roisin (above) poised on the nose; laying it back with style (top right); and Tori (above right) showing how it’s done.
THE WEEK ON THE WATER: Roisin (above) poised on the nose; laying it back with style (top right); and Tori (above right) showing how it’s done.

New swell system means it’s time to try different tactics

THAT easterly trade wind swell just keeps on giving - pity we don't really have the sandbanks available to make the most of it.

Regardless, weatherwise things are about to change.

The massive blocking high pressure system that has been sitting in the Tasman Sea for the last couple of weeks is finally about to collapse.

For starters this means that we may actually begin to experience some autumn weather.

It also means that the easterly fetch circulating along the outer regions of the high is about to switch off, and with it the easterly swell as well, however that is not necessarily bad news.

As the high fades into insignificance, there are several lows looking pretty eager to take its place.

By tomorrow we'll see the beginnings of a new swell from one such system.

The easterly swell will continue to abate, but at the same time a south to southeast swell could begin to fill in across our region.

Of course this means different strategies for getting waves.

We've all gotten used to the east swell getting in at most spots.

Now it's going to be more a case of getting further north up the beach, or heading to the southern facing swell magnets, as we're most likely to see a significant drop in size on the northern facing points.

This new swell doesn't really look big enough yet to refract around the headlands and light up the points.

But we live in hope, as there is another low that could form in the Tasman over the next few days.

If that system forms, it could add a bit of a kick to the southeast swell mid next week.

It's a bit of a long shot at the moment so we'll just have to wait and see.

As for this weekend, if you want any size, it will involve getting up early before the wind - it's going to blow straight south all weekend.

The swell will be east southeast on Saturday, offering a few more options, but it will swing south to southeast by Sunday.

This will pretty much remove most of the points from the equation, unless you like it really small and soft.

The swell will hover around the 1.5-2m range most of the weekend, yet the change in direction will become more noticeable by Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning.

Stay safe, wait your turn, and surf today like you want surf again tomorrow.

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